In the absence of any case law developments, I’d like to make the following conjecture about the health care reform bill that appears to be headed for passage this weekend: once it starts to have a non-trivial effect (2013? 2014?), it will result in a net increase in employee mobility.

In your long-range planning, consider that.

UPDATE 3/28/2010: I should Google before I conjecture. Apparently, this phenomenon has been very closely studied. Strangely, it just wasn’t part of the non-debate about reform. According to the article I linked to, 1.6m people are locked into jobs they don’t want because of reliance on health benefits.